Yes, poll numbers are simply a snapshot of time, and these are clearly unpleasant times for our Dear Leader. Last night’s addition of the new Quinnipiac Poll, dropped the Prezy’s approval to a previously unseen level since he’s been in office.
|RCP Average||10/25 – 11/11||—||41.4||53.3||-11.9|
|Quinnipiac||11/6 – 11/11||2545 RV||39||54||-15|
|Gallup||11/9 – 11/11||1500 A||40||54||-14|
|Rasmussen Reports||11/9 – 11/11||1500 LV||45||54||-9|
|Pew Research||10/30 – 11/6||1605 RV||39||56||-17|
|The Economist/YouGov||11/2 – 11/4||686 RV||41||53||-12|
|GWU/Battleground||10/27 – 10/31||1000 LV||45||52||-7|
|Reuters/Ipsos||10/25 – 10/29||1660 A||40||52||-12|
|NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl||10/25 – 10/28||800 A||42||51||-9|
I still contend these numbers should be lower. For those of you who wonder why I am so focused on the President’s poll numbers, this has been best explain by the National Journal:
In fact, no president in the last 60 years has watched his approval ratings bounce back during their second term….
“In a second term, once a president’s numbers decline, they never come back up,” Ed Goeas, a Republican pollster, told reporters last week during a breakfast hosted by the Christian Science Monitor. “There’s a good reason for that: they don’t have a reelection campaign going on. They don’t have the air cover on air. They’re not putting back together a campaign in contrast to the opposition.”
Goeas suggested Obama has reached a similar point-of-no-return in his presidency. A spate of surveys suggest the pollster might be right: The Pew Research Center last week found only 41 percent of adults approving of his job performance, while 53 percent disapproved. The 12-point split was the largest of his presidency, the survey found. Obama’s approval rating was also at 41 percent in Gallup’s polling last week, including a three-day rolling sample that showed it bottoming out at 39 percent.
Obama and his supporters like to say he’ll never face reelection again, so his numbers don’t matter. But other Democrats — namely red-state Sens. Mary Landrieu of Louisiana, Mark Pryor of Arkansas of North, Kay Hagan of North Carolina and Mark Begich of Alaska — will face voters again, during next year’s midterms. And a slumping president has been nothing but bad news for his party colleagues.
Democrats lost 28 House seats and five Senate seats during the first two years of Truman’s second term. In 2006, Republicans lost their majority in the House and Senate, losing 30 and six seats, respectively, under Bush’s leadership. Presidential parties with a popular chief executive have managed to actually add seats at the six-year mark, like Bill Clinton in 1998.
Meanwhile, as the Republicans continue to do a very good job of stepping back and letting the Obamacare failure unfold, they are still taking their swipes as they released four more “I’m Obamacare” ads.
For those who need a reminder, the ad is mocking this historic moment in the Congressional testimony by Health and Human Service director, Kathleen Sebelius:
This ad reflects what millions of people are enduring.
This one addresses one of the many unknown consequences of Obamacare:
And finally this one addresses the big lie: