Unskewed polling average Romney +7.8

Let me start off by saying it’s the first day of autumn, my favorite season, it’s Saturday and I’m feeling silly..

In that vein, I present to you unskewedpolls.com. What they have done is take all the current polls and weighted them in, what they consider, a more realistic turnout model for this year’s Presidential election.

I’m not saying I agree with their model, I’m just saying, as a Romney supporter, it’s more fun. Their model allows me a moment to dream of unicorns, rainbows and gumdrops.

Yea, we all know that’s not what I dream about, but I’ve said I like to keep this a “family blog.”

The chart doesn’t quite fit on the page, so let’s just consider this to be my lazy silly Saturday post, shall we.

Poll Date Sample MoE Obama(D) Romney(R) Spread
UnSkewed Avg. 9/4 – 9/20 44.0 51.8 Romney +7.8
Reason/Rupe 9/13 – 9/17 787 LV 4.3 45.0 52.0 Romney +7
Reuters/Ipsos 9/12 – 9/20 1437 LV 2.9 44.0 54.0 Romney +10
NBC News/WSJ 9/12 – 9/16 736 LV 3.6 44.0 51.0 Romney +7
Monmouth Univ. 9/13 – 9/16 1344 LV 2.5 45.0 50.0 Romney +5
QStarNews 9/10 – 9/15 2075 3.0 44.0 55.0 Romney +11
NY Times/CBS News 9/8 – 9/12 1162 LV 3.0 44.0 51.0 Romney +7
Democracy Corps 9/8 – 9/12 1000 LV 3.1 43.0 52.0 Romney +8
Fox News 9/9 – 9/11 1056 LV 3.0 45.0 48.0 Romney +3
Wash. Post/ABC News 9/7 – 9/9 826 LV 4.0 45.0 52.0 Romney +7
CNN/ORC 9/7 – 9/9 875 RV 3.5 45.0 53.0 Romney +8
IBD/CSM/TIPP 9/4 – 9/9 808 RV 3.5 41.0 50.0 Romney +9
ARG 9/4 – 9/6 1200 LV 3.0 43.0 53.0 Romney +10
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2 Responses to Unskewed polling average Romney +7.8

  1. Wish I could believe these! Unfortunately, the site looks a little on the home-made side, which I can forgive were it not for the fact that they don’t have historical examples of how their model was more accurate in predicting results. For a new poll-weighting formula, I think that’s a must.

    • Bret Rickert says:

      Like I said I don’t agree with their model but the site is from examiner.com. When you click each poll they tell us how they weighted the poll. The name unskewedpolls.com is misleading, but it does sound better than differentlyskewedpolls.com. Either way it does reflect the frustration many have with the current polling methods.
      But what I great day November 6th would be if these were true. Ahhh to dream.

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