The race for the GOP nomination has begun and the mainstream media is all hyped up because there is not a clear cut front-runner. The media would have us believe President Obama is unbeatable after the killing of bin Laden, from Newsweek:
But now, the killing of Osama bin Laden is changing this equation dramatically. Alleged Muslim Barack Obama did in two and a half years what Bush couldn’t do in seven and a half. It wasn’t just the result. The nature of the operation is still breathtaking, weeks later, and the risk Obama took, which he conveyed with masterful cool in his 60 Minutes interview, is mind-blowing (imagine if bin Laden hadn’t been there!). You can call the president who oversaw the operation many things, but weak isn’t one of them.
Yet here is the truth about the “bin Laden bounce,” from the National Journal:
Obama’s bounce is smaller in magnitude and shorter in duration than the bumps enjoyed by other presidents over the past 70 years, according to a study by Republican polling firm Public Opinion Strategies. For example, George W. Bush received a 15-point bump after the capture of Saddam Hussein in 2003 — a bounce that lasted seven weeks.
The poll also comes the same day as Gallup announced that three in four Americans “name some type of economic issue as the ‘most important problem’ facing the country today — the highest net mentions of the economy in two years. Those numbers, combined with Obama’s fleeting boost, suggest the economy remains — by far — the dominant issue of the 2012 presidential campaign.
Media hype aside, it is clear the President is going to have a tough fight for re-election. I hear some of you squawking about the “weakness” of the Republican contenders, but I remind you of 1992. The candidates, who were running for the Democrats, were considered to be second tier and no match for the presumably unbeatable President George H.W Bush. One of those was a “laughable,” promiscuous Governor, of a small southern state, who turned out to be one of the great politicians of our time.
As things stand now there is a growing sense of ABO (anyone but Obama) and with a projected unemployment rate of at least 8.2%, I emphasize “at least,” the President cannot campaign for re-election with a “blame the previous guy” or “things where worse than I thought strategy.” Oh, it will work with his base, but heck, just saying “I killed bin Laden” will work with his base. Then again, maybe not. Check out this Saturday Night Live Skit, when they start taking shots like this at President Obama, you know he is in more trouble than the media would have us believe.